With three games left to play, the race is on for the Top 8 URC places and Champions Cup qualification. The Ospreys find themselves currently in 10 place but there are just 6 points between the Lions in 11th place and the Stormers in 5th place.
The 3 remaining rounds include matches between our Top 8 rivals so every point will be crucial.
I have done a little bit of forecasting and I think the Ospreys need a minimum of 11 points to qualify for the Top 8. We need at least a try BP out in Dublin, 5 points against the Dragons and another 5 points against Cardiff. If we get 10 points, I think it will come down to the points difference between the Ospreys, Connacht and Edinburgh.
What do you think will happen?
I think we will just miss out. In terms of other results much will depend on what the likes of Munster and Leinster need for home play off advantage from the final games. Losing to a basement side at Rodney Parade will probable be the difference and that Cutty hammy gainst Munster still hurts as does the blown fourth try last week from that needless interception. I think going forward the squad is not yet ready to mix with the champions Cup big boys at full strength and a run into the knockouts is more likely next year in the challenge cup.
Are any of the Irish teams playing each other on the last weekend ? Not that I am one to start conspiracy theories, but I reckon if Connacht are playing Leinster away, they may pull off a shock result. ... I've just checked the fixtures, guess who are playing each other on the last weekend.